Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.181578 0.208833 0.239972 0.278438 0.325029 0.380088 0.450750
2025-05-11 0.141445 0.176888 0.222031 0.284880 0.371967 0.491275 0.672410
2025-05-18 0.116586 0.154757 0.207379 0.287602 0.411332 0.603240 0.941921
2025-05-25 0.099769 0.138596 0.195505 0.288817 0.446155 0.718041 1.269333
2025-06-01 0.087017 0.125320 0.184299 0.286999 0.473834 0.829146 1.649425
2025-06-08 0.076735 0.113807 0.173256 0.282146 0.493701 0.932051 2.075447
2025-06-15 0.070824 0.108109 0.170354 0.290350 0.539927 1.106881 2.804150
2025-06-22 0.063821 0.099564 0.161090 0.284509 0.555487 1.219291 3.457083
2025-06-29 0.059190 0.094381 0.156871 0.287453 0.590958 1.397739 4.510971
2025-07-06 0.054441 0.088387 0.150235 0.284002 0.610483 1.543310 5.624407
2025-07-13 0.051407 0.085083 0.148168 0.289838 0.654965 1.788319 7.560400
2025-07-20 0.048854 0.082354 0.146798 0.296911 0.705284 2.085110 10.376022
2025-07-27 0.046346 0.079500 0.144924 0.302829 0.756045 2.426373 14.452339
2025-08-03 0.044248 0.077220 0.143955 0.310902 0.817258 2.864359 20.998316
2025-08-10 0.041964 0.074331 0.141299 0.314198 0.865241 3.292789 29.769675
2025-08-17 0.039770 0.071398 0.138165 0.315629 0.908138 3.744819 42.226328
2025-08-24 0.037552 0.068207 0.134057 0.313615 0.938548 4.168700 58.643489
2025-08-31 0.035327 0.064803 0.129067 0.308193 0.954640 4.533542 79.064867
2025-09-07 0.034199 0.063607 0.129080 0.317371 1.033479 5.426356 135.009000
2025-09-14 0.032255 0.060496 0.124172 0.310837 1.044332 5.850476 187.643422
2025-09-21 0.031009 0.058801 0.122520 0.314130 1.100940 6.750487 320.773573
2025-09-28 0.029491 0.056385 0.118828 0.310271 1.123573 7.404522 501.240810
2025-10-05 0.028595 0.055284 0.118323 0.316799 1.200839 8.782576 1074.628669